Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.010636 0.012713 0.015267 0.018698 0.023288 0.029372 0.038327
2025-08-03 0.008042 0.010425 0.013726 0.018840 0.026996 0.040406 0.066537
2025-08-10 0.006484 0.008818 0.012294 0.018199 0.028847 0.049498 0.100973
2025-08-17 0.005374 0.007542 0.010931 0.017073 0.029192 0.055977 0.139090
2025-08-24 0.004617 0.006639 0.009925 0.016199 0.029558 0.062767 0.191120
2025-08-31 0.004231 0.006247 0.009664 0.016582 0.032694 0.079096 0.324565
2025-09-07 0.003801 0.005714 0.009051 0.016093 0.033604 0.090168 0.487641
2025-09-14 0.003421 0.005215 0.008415 0.015393 0.033699 0.098961 0.705968
2025-09-21 0.003182 0.004929 0.008128 0.015383 0.035704 0.118037 1.297074
2025-09-28 0.003053 0.004821 0.008162 0.016115 0.040342 0.157420 3.861967
2025-10-05 0.003007 0.004855 0.008481 0.017635 0.048658 0.240833 48.477414
2025-10-12 0.002892 0.004746 0.008485 0.018351 0.054723 0.335374 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002713 0.004513 0.008232 0.018426 0.058989 0.449507 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002554 0.004305 0.008008 0.018558 0.064005 0.630561 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002367 0.004023 0.007573 0.017930 0.064863 0.767385 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002174 0.003710 0.007027 0.016827 0.062443 0.820302 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002014 0.003454 0.006587 0.015970 0.060979 0.906575 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001938 0.003362 0.006525 0.016345 0.067415 1.456763 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001825 0.003184 0.006233 0.015866 0.068043 1.825909 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001713 0.002999 0.005902 0.015179 0.066800 2.093700 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001642 0.002896 0.005768 0.015169 0.070651 3.250561 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001608 0.002871 0.005826 0.015888 0.081431 8.649693 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001605 0.002912 0.006059 0.017378 0.102586 104.050409 NaN